India's sovereign rating could be cut if the government loosens fiscal policy in the run-up to elections, says Fitch.
The unexpected upward revision of the country's sovereign rating by Fitch today will strengthen the battered rupee which would also stem the fund outflow from the domestic market, Standard Chartered said.
Public sector banks require Rs 2.40-lakh crore.
The government allocated Rs 650 billion for petroleum subsidies in FY14, of which Rs 450 billion was used to pay oil marketing companies for the subsidy gap incurred in the previous financial year.
Global rating agency Fitch on Friday pegged India's growth at 5.5 per cent in the current fiscal and 6 per cent in 2015-16 and affirmed the country's rating outlook at stable level.
Tata Steel was the top gainer in the Sensex pack, rallying 3.23 per cent, followed by SBI, Yes Bank, Hero MotoCorp, ICICI Bank and Bharti Airtel.
Rating agency Fitch Ratings today said there is more pain in store for India's infrastructure projects, which are already reeling under delays and regulatory hurdles, due to sector specific stresses and macroeconomic challenges.
Report says stressed asset level to peak at 15% in 2014-15.
India's sovereign credit ratings do not reflect the economy's fundamentals, the Economic Survey said on Friday and nudged the global agencies to become more transparent and less subjective in their ratings. The Economic Survey 2020-21, tabled in Parliament, said that sovereign credit ratings methodology must be amended to reflect economies' ability and willingness to pay their debt obligations, and suggested that developing economies must come together to address this bias and subjectivity inherent in sovereign credit ratings methodology. "Never in the history of sovereign credit ratings has the fifth largest economy in the world been rated as the lowest rung of the investment-grade (BBB-/Baa3). While sovereign credit ratings do not reflect the Indian economy's fundamentals, noisy, opaque and biased credit ratings damage FPI flows," the survey said.
The recent Indian telecom spectrum auction will hasten industry consolidation, strengthen tariffs and reduce regulatory risks.
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The rated oil and gas companies, Fitch said, have a significant proportion of foreign currency-denominated debt.
Since Indian economy grew by 8.9 per cent in the first half, Fitch projections mean that it will expand by a slower growth rate in the second half.
India's inclusion in JP Morgan's bond index can channel billions of dollars into India. How will the government securities market handle it?
Rating agency Fitch on Tuesday upgraded India's long-term foreign and local currency issuer default ratings
Fitch on Monday said the likely upturn in the country's investment climate and reduction in interest rates will improve the property market by the end of March 2016.
The government's Rs 20.97 lakh crore COVID-19 package lacks in addressing the immediate concerns of the economy as the actual fiscal impact of the additional stimulus is only about 1 per cent of the GDP as opposed to the claim of 10 per cent, Fitch Solutions said on Tuesday. Prime Minister Narendra Modi on May 12 announced a stimulus package of Rs 20 lakh crore, or nearly 10 per cent of GDP, to deal with the economic fallout of COVID-19. The contents of the package were broad-based and announced in five tranches.
Global rating agency Fitch has revised upwards India's growth projection to 6 from 5 per cent for the current fiscal and said the recent election results should provide additional confidence and spur growth.
The Union Budget 2011-2012 is likely to be more beneficial for the special and underdeveloped states, including J&K, Himachal Pradesh and Bihar, rating agency Fitch said on Wednesday.
The rating agency has affirmed the company's National Long Term Rating at 'AAA' with a stable outlook.
India's economic growth has slowed to a three-year low of 5.3 per cent in the April-June quarter of the current fiscal.
Although the Fitch revised the outlook on Long-term Local Currency Issuer Default Rating from stable to negative, it has retained the investment grade rating at BBB-, which indicates low credit risk. The downgrade by Fitch is one of the main reasons for all-round selling in the stock markets. Another global rating agency Standard and Poor's last week had said it might downgrade India's sovereign ratings, if the country's rising inflation and widening fiscal deficit.
Officials in the finance ministry are not happy with credit rating agency Fitch's revision of India's local currency outlook to negative from stable. Officials say Fitch's conclusion that the central government's fiscal deficit will rise to 4.5 per cent of gross domestic product in 2008-09, as against 2.8 per cent in the previous fiscal, is wrong.
India's populist pre-election Budget, unveiled on Friday, sparked concern at credit rating agency Fitch which said the plans confirmed the government was unwilling to grasp the need to cut spending.
Bombay Dyeing & Manufacturing Co Ltd said Fitch Rating India Pvt Ltd affirmed F1 + (Ind) rating to its short-term debt program.
Upstream firms have a tremendous financial pressure due to selling crude at subsidised rates to oil marketing firms.
Flush with surplus capital and liquidity, European banks are increasingly looking for potential acquisition targets in India among other emerging economies.
International rating agency Fitch Ratings has pegged India's economic growth at 8 per cent for this fiscal, up from an estimated 7.2 per cent in the 2009-10 period.
"The 2012 outlook for the Indian pharmaceutical industry is stable. The agency expects credit profiles to remain stable given that long-term earnings and profitability prospects remain intact with moderate capex," Fitch said in its report '2012 Outlook: Indian Pharmaceutical'.
Capital needs are likely to increase substantially each year.
According to a report by rating agency Fitch, different sets of regulations imposed by different regulators may result in an uneven playing field.
The new government will have to spur investment to bosot economy, says Fitch.
On government's last week's announcement of revamping of PSU banks, Fitch Ratings said the move is "credit positive, but risks remain".
The country, however, suffers from excessive regulation and tax laws, which is concern for foreign investors, Fitch group managing director for corporate rating Richard Hunter told PTI in an interview.
Finance Minister P Chidambaram on Friday downplayed the lowering of India's credit outlook by global rating agency Fitch, saying it is not a cause of worry as economic fundamentals are strong.
Stating that COVID-19 has not yet been contained in India, the rating agency in a statement said the government stimulus package is low relative to countries with similar economic impacts from the pandemic. "The COVID-19 outbreak in India and two months of lockdown -- longer in some areas -- have led to a sudden stop in the economy. That means growth will contract sharply this fiscal year (April 2020 to March 2021)," it said. "Economic activity will face ongoing disruption over the next year as the country transitions to a post-COVID-19 world."
The US-based agency, however, termed the 7 per cent GDP growth for the October-December quarter as "surprising", a tad lower than 7.4 per cent in the previous quarter.
The safest banks are those that have shown their strength in times of turbulence.
In household savings, there has been a persistent shift towards physical assets.
Continued demand for generics from the US market will ensure stable outlook for Indian Generics Pharmaceuticals in 2011, global rating agency Fitch Ratings said on Monday.
The Adani group is in advanced talks with top sovereign funds based in West Asia to raise up to $2.6 billion for its airport expansion and green hydrogen projects. The group, which expects to close the ongoing financial year ending March with Rs 80,000 crore of Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation), has held a series of road shows in London, Dubai, and Singapore with potential investors, briefing them about their future growth plans. The group's flagship, Adani Enterprises, may dilute part of its stake in the airport-holding firm and/or the green hydrogen business to these funds, which are keen to invest in the Indian infrastructure sector, said a source close to the development.
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